Tuesday, December 3, 2013

Koby's Prospect Report No. 2 - NL West

Los Angeles Galaxy – Mike1184 is an original owner dating back to Season 1.  With 14 division titles and 7 wild card appearances Season 1 and 2 are the only non-playoff appearances for Mike’s franchise.   

Emilio Tavarez – Signed in Season 23 to an ML deal this IFA earned a sign on bonus of 12.7 million.  Atgae 20 Tavrez has plenty of time to mature into the future ML All-Star he has the potential to be.  With plus plus range,  a plus glove and slightly above average arm Tavarez could see time at 3b or be a multi-time Gold Glove winner in COF.  Most likely he will find himself in either CF or at 2b where his bat will then have the most impact for that role.  With A++ power Tavarez is a future 50 HR player.  The right handed will slaughter lefties and more than hold his own against right handers.  Tavarez struggled late in the season at High A in his 1stAmerican pro ball campaign, but projects to be a solid .260-.270 hitter with 50 HR and 20 steal capability.   Deadly cleanup hitter looks to be his future I 203 seasons.

Carlos Tabata – Tabata was signed to an ML deal in Season 21 and has turned part of his 144.9million bonus into an Aston Martin Vanquish that he cruises around the streets of LA showing off.  Tabata projects to be a strong glove average range and arm COFer for LA.  But with a deadly combination of power and speed Tabata looks to be the ideal leadoff hitter.   With plus contact and a plus eye at the plate Tabata should not only hit for average but find his way to 1b via the walk as well.  Tabata has slightly above average power and projects to 12-15 HRs at the ML level.  Equally deadly against both right handers and southpaws,  Tabata should reach base with the frequency of Shin Soo Choo and steal bases like Jacoby Ellsbury.  Tabata hitting in front of  Tavarez will make for a destructive LA lineup in the future.  At21 Tabata is MLready now, but a whole season or 2 at AAA will only build a can’t miss prospect.

Gene Bailey – Bailey is the strongest of LA’s pitching prospects.  Drafted 25th overall in Season 22 Bailey will start the season at High A but could be a promotional candidate to AA post All-Star break.  With good durability and stamina Bailey should easily reach the 200 inning mark, but he will not be 220 innings eater.  With plus plus control, and a very heavy 4 seamer and cutter Baileyshould be a ground ball generating machine.  A slightly above average curveball will keep hitters guessing, but Bailey will earn his money by pounding the strike zone.  With not a lot of movement on his 4 seamer and cutter they biggest key for Bailey will be location location location.  On a playoff contender he projects as strong #2, but could be a team’s ace if called upon.

Oklahoma City Chiefs – picc818 is in his 17th season as an owner  and is looking to break through in to the playoffs in the near future and these prospects should help that cause:

Brennan Loaiza – Drafted in the 2nd round (66th overall) in Season 23 Loaiza projects as a future 2b or 3b defensively.  A future move to 3b would take advantage of his all well rounded skill set of his glove and arm.  As a hitter, his production looks to be more in line with a middle infielder than if he played the hot corner.  Loaiza will have above average contact/power ratings while knowing what pitches he should and should not swing at.  Against right handers with a deadly curveball he may have a little Pedro Cerrano in him as he will struggles with the off speed stuff from a righty.  A solid 7 hitter Loaiza should have a lengthy ML career.

Ronny Tomlinson – Drafted 15th overall in Season 22 Tomlinson projects to be a candidate to be a dominant #1, but at a minimum will anchor any staff.  With good durability he will take the ball every 5th day, but he projects as a 190-205 inning a year guy.  He will not be a complete game pitcher.  With A++ control  and a very heavy 4-seamer Tomlinson will have manager the strike zone in the same mold as Tom Glavine once did.  With a plus curve to back up the 4-seamer Tomlinson can keep hitters guessing.  He will need to avoid throwing too many change ups to right handed hitters, he can get a little meatbally if he tries to many rather than simply challenging with the heater.  15 wins a year and a sub 3.7 ERA with a couple of ASG appearances would make picc very excited as an owner.

Demond Parrish – Drafted 6th overall in Season 23 Parrish projects as the dominant #1 in OKC’s organization which would make Tomlinson a deadly #2.  Combining his durability and stamina Parrish will be a 220 inning a season guy with 5-6 CGs per season potential as long as OKC lets him air it out and does not keep him on a tight pitch count.  The left hander will own lefties in the NL as he will keep the ball moving down in the strike zone with a a lot of movement on a heavy splitter and a fall off the table curve.  Parrish will have Jaime Moyer like stuff, nothing overpowering, but he will find the zone or miss low, induce the ground ball and keep hitters off base.   15-18 wins and 220 IPs are not unrealistic.  Combined with Tomlinson OKC has a deadly 1-2 punch in the coming years.

Arizona Wildcats – Freyja is in his 10thseason in stickball world, making it to the playoffs once as a Wild Card, and has finished 2nd in the division 4 straight times.  Arizona is clearly a team built for today as “prospects” are like  Glee Club members in high school, if high school was in the early 90s….there just aren’t that many of them and they are not that popular.

Brad Scutaro – Is clearly the #1 prospect in the Zona farm system.  Drafted #1 overall in season 20 out of high school, Scutaro is Big League ready NOW!  Scutaro had a cup of coffee and donut in the bigs in Season 23 and it won’t be long before he assumes hi starting spot in the majors.  With projected 100 contact and 80 eye Scutaro will be a bad ball hitter, a good ball hitter and a mistake killer.  With a projected 87 power rating and Splits in the mid 80s and upper 70s think Miguel Cabrera meets chris Davis with a slice of Joey Votto.  He runs like a Molina brother, but it won’t matter he will anchor a lineup in the #3 or #4 hole.  He will have pretty good range for a 1B with an average glove, so he is not relegated to a lifetime of DHing, though in the AL that would be his ideal position.    This kid should be in the bigs seasons and is an everyday player waiting to happen.

Rich Adams – Drafted 27th overall in Season 23, Adams projects as a plus plus range with a plus glove and average arm.  Adams could see a future in CF, but is probably best suited to 2b and you live with the average arm at the position.  At the plate if he hits his projections Adams will have a plus contact and plus eye rating.  Paired with an already great speed rating of 95 this guy is not only a threat to get on base but a major threat when he is on base.  Arizona hitters will be hard pressed to hit a double that he does not score on from first.  With just above average splits a .265-.275 average is not out of the question.  Adams projects as a #1 or #2 hitter, he does not have the power to bat in the middle of the lineup.  Rich is still a couple of seasons away from the bigs – heopfully he sees his ratings jump so he is truly effective.

Alan Ruebel- Rounds out the Arizona list.  A supplemental pick at #49 overall in Season 18, Ruebel projects as  decent  defensive 1b with a strong glove at the position. With average range for a 1B one thing for sure is he can get there he should catch it.  At the plate Ruebel has slightly above average contact and power ratings.  He will struggle some vs. lefties but this left handed hitter will hammer right handed pitching.  With an above average eye he should also be a walk machine.  With Rich Adams also in the organization Ruebel’s greatest value might be as a trading chip.    Ruebel, today, would be a valuable bench contributor and on a contending team that may be his best role as a part time 1b/DH or pinch hitter. 

Vancouver Drakes – this is season #4 for agent_wart as he took over a team on the downswing of a successful run and now looks to have returned the corner.

Vic Zumaya – Was acquired as an IFA signing inSeason23 for only $5 mil bonus.  On paper this looks like a theft in the Dominican Republic.  Signed as a short stop Zumaya’s future is at 3b.  With mid 70s range and glove ratings, an 80+ arm strength and low 70s accuracy, Zuamaya has gold glove potential at the hot corner.  At the plate Zumaya doesn’t amaze in any category, but he is relatively strong in all.  With above average contact, splits and eye Zumaya will get on base often enough and hit for a decent average.  Expect only 10-13home runs per season.  With a high 70s speed Zuamaya will also be a base path threat.  Zumaya could hit 1st,2nd, or 6thand below in any lineup depending on the needs.

Rusty Hawksworth – Admittedly Hawksworth makes this list over others due to my love of closers.  With a 77 durability and a 34 projected stamina, Hawk is not just your 1 inning closer.  He can be stretched when needed.  With plus plus control and velocity, hitters won’t know where the ball is going, just know it will be in the strike zone.  With a dominant 4-seamer and a serviceable above average curve Hawk should easily save 35+ games per season while appearing in 50 games for 65-70 innings with a sub 3.00 ERA.

Domingo Lunar –Checks in as the #3 prospect in Vancouver.  In Season22 Lunar inked for a 12.5 million dollar bonus, but with All-Star catchers hard to find this deal maybe worth it.  Lunar will be a slightly above average pitch caller, but a very good right handed hitter.  So good in fact that right handers won’t be able to sneak anything by him as he projects to a 100 split vs. righties.  With an upper 70s contact and mid 60s eye rating Lunar should easily hit in the .270-.280 range.  Oh, and he is no slouch against lefties either.  While not a power hitter, Lunar’s ability with the stick in his hand could land him ideally in the 5 or 6 hole as he does not run well enough to succeed as a #2 hitter.  While he could play today, Lunar sits at High A and 2 more seasons in the minors will make him All-Star caliber when he gets his shot.

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