Meet Your Hall of Famers: Slim Stewart

Bio:   Slim Stewart was born in Mendenhall, MS (Pop. 2,504, 33 miles Southeast of Jackson).  He attended Lawrence County High School in Monticello, MS (Nickname: Cougars). 

Draft: Was the 3rd pick in Season 40 by Little Rock (tenaciousdx).   Signed for $3,8200,000 million.

Scout Pasqual Javier: “Slim Stewart is an exceptionally talented pitcher with a high ceiling. His combination of velocity, control, and competitive mindset makes him a standout prospect. While there is still development needed, particularly with his secondary pitches and consistency, his raw talent and work ethic suggest a bright future ahead. With the right development and support, he has the potential to become a top-of-the-rotation starter at the major league level.  Projection: Future All-Star caliber pitcher with potential to be a key contributor to a major league rotation. With continued growth and refinement, he could emerge as an ace for any team.”

Manager (trapapoodle): “He stayed slim by doing ballroom dancing in his spare time. He was also very superstitious. Other than that I just remember he was a great pitcher and an even better man.  He was just a consistently excellent pitcher for me and I'm still working on replacing him.”    

Career Earnings: $121,131,000

Career: Slim Stewart broke into the Majors in season 42 and had a 20-year career.  He spent his first 18 years in the Little Rock organization that drafted him (New Orleans, Wichita, Charleston).  He finished his MLB career with one-year stints in Boise and El Paso.  He was a 9-time All-Star and won one World Series Ring with Charleston in Season 54.  He also threw a no-hitter in Season 58. The Season of 54 was also his best year. In that year he had a 19-4 record while throwing 212 INN. He also posted a 2.04 ERA, .205 OAV, .93 WHIP, and 184 K’s.  He finished his career with 260 Wins, 3166 K’s, a .228 OAV, 1.10 WHIP, and 2.98 ERA.  He owns the single season record for WHIP of .90 for Charleston in Season 58. He also owns Career records in Charleston for Wins 258, WHIP 1.08, K’s 3,073, INN 3589, ERA 2.88, OAV .226.

Hall of Fame Speech: Ladies and gentlemen,

To be inducted into the Hall of Fame is a profound honor, one that reflects not just my journey but the countless people who have supported me along the way. As I look out at all of you, I am overwhelmed with gratitude and awe. This recognition is a testament to the incredible game of baseball and to the remarkable journey I’ve had, from a small-town kid with big dreams to a Hall of Famer.

As I look back on my career, I am reminded of the humble beginnings in Mendenhall, Mississippi. Growing up, I was just a kid with a dream and a fastball, playing on the backlot fields and dreaming of making it to the big leagues. To think that a small-town kid like me could come this far is nothing short of extraordinary.

Getting drafted straight out of high school by Little Rock was the start of an incredible adventure. I remember the excitement and nerves of stepping into professional baseball, not knowing where the road would lead but eager to give it everything I had. Little Rock gave me the chance to start my journey, and I am forever grateful for that opportunity.

Eighteen seasons with Charleston—the team that became my second family—were the highlight of my career. To win a World Series in Season 54 was a moment of sheer joy and validation. That championship was not just a testament to my hard work but to the collective effort of an amazing team. To my teammates and coaches, thank you for your unwavering support, guidance, and the countless memories we created together.

I’ll never forget the day I threw that no-hitter. It was one of those rare and magical moments where everything seemed to fall perfectly into place. But even more than that, it was a testament to the teamwork and preparation that went into every game.

To my family, thank you for your endless support and sacrifices. Your belief in me kept me grounded and motivated through the highs and lows of my career. Your love and encouragement made every victory sweeter and every challenge more manageable.

To the fans of Charleston and beyond, your enthusiasm and loyalty were a driving force for me. Your cheers and support turned every game into a celebration and gave me the energy to perform at my best. I am honored to have been part of this community and to have shared so many great moments with you all.

Baseball is a game of countless stories and countless dreams. I hope my story serves as a reminder of the power of perseverance, dedication, and passion. To be remembered in this way is both humbling and inspiring, and I am deeply grateful for this recognition.

Thank you for this incredible honor. It’s a privilege to stand here and celebrate the game that has given me so much. Here’s to the future, to the next generation of players who will carry on the legacy of this great sport.

Thank you all.

Season 65 Awards Voting

 Just as a reminder, the following are Wins Above Replacement totals that include batting, fielding and pitching data and have been adjusted for both home parks and primary defensive positions. Without further ado, let's get to the numbers and see if the #Cliff4MVP campaign is justified 😂🤔

AL MVP

• Alex Calvo (LF-Monterrey), 9.57 WAR
• Dan Brown (RF-Monterrey), 5.46 WAR
• Rafael Jacquez (2B-Fargo), 6.09 WAR
• Brian Kojima (1B-Santa Cruz), 3.89 WAR
• Vince Fonville (RF-Ottawa), 5.59 WAR

NL MVP 

• Ivan Jacquez (1B-St. Louis), 7.63 WAR
• Cliff Leverton (1B-Las Vegas), 9.87 WAR
• Claudio Jarvis (1B-Charleston), 7.10 WAR
• Niko Morton (1B-El Paso), 7.31 WAR
• Bob Haywood (1B-Santa Fe), 3.97 WAR

AL Cy Young

• AJ Moreno (SP-Fargo), 7.59 WAR
• Juan Romero (SP-Louisville), 3.59 WAR
• Brad Jensen (SP-Monterrey), 5.07 WAR
• Wladimir Campos (SP-Ottawa), 3.80 WAR
• Warren Buckel (SP-Kansas City), 4.78 WAR

NL Cy Young 

• Tom Scott (SP-Helena), 4.94 WAR
• Shaggy Conforto (SP-Cleveland), 4.85 WAR
• Felipe Lee (SP-San Juan), 5.72 WAR
• Mitchell Bergman (SP-San Juan), 3.19 WAR
• Germany Gilliam (SP-Las Vegas), 1.66 WAR

AL Rookie of the Year

• David Beltre (CF-San Francisco), 4.58 WAR
• Brian Kojima (1B-Santa Cruz), 3.89 WAR
• Koji Kim (CF-Kansas City), 4.31 WAR
• Dan Leach (RF-Santa Cruz), 1.60 WAR 
• Stretch Stockton (CF-Colorado), 1.61 WAR

NL Rookie of the Year

• Hong-Gu Martin (RF-Charleston), 3.77 WAR
• Germany Gilliam (SP-Las Vegas), 1.66 WAR
• Timothy Gray (RP-Seattle), 2.27 WAR
• John Browne (LF-Helena), 2.45 WAR
• Charles Siddall (SP-El Paso), 1.85 WAR

Meet Your Hall of Famers: Leonys Nieves

 

Bio:   Leonys was born in Satsuma, FL (unincoporated community in Putnam County, 55 miles East of Gainesville).  He attended Crescent City High School (Nickname: Raiders). He then played at Davidson Collage in Davidson, NC (nickname: Wildcats)

Draft: Was the 2nd pick in Season 43 by Richmond (vegascowboy).   Signed for $3,910,000 million.

Scout Pep Dickey- “Leonys Nieves is a highly promising prospect with great power. His potential impact at the major league level is significant, with the upside of becoming a key contributor offensively. With continued development and adjustment to higher competition, he has the potential to become a cornerstone player for any organization. Projection: Future All-Star and middle-of-the-order hitter.”

Career Earnings: $55,729,000

Career: Leonys Nieves broke into the Majors in season 46 and had a 14-year career.  He spent 10 of those 14 years in the Richmond organization that drafted him (Florida, Augusta, Dover, Cleveland, Jacksonville) before being traded to Santa Fe for 3 seasons. He finished his MLB career with one season in Louisville.  He was a 6-time All-Star and won 2 MVP awards (51, 53), and 7 Silver Slugger Awards (47, 49, 50, 51, 52, 53, 55).  His best year was his MVP Season of 53. In that year he hit .340 with 216 H, 33 2B, 2 3B, 52 HR, 128 RBI, and 5 SB.  Over his career he hit .308, 2209 H, 374 2B, 31 3B, 494 HR, 1401 RBI, 67 SB and an OPS of .966. 

He holds the Single Season record for Richmond at 57 Homeruns (Season 48).

Hall of Fame Speech:  Ladies and gentlemen, family, friends, and fellow baseball lovers,

Wow. Standing here tonight, I’m overwhelmed with gratitude and humility. It’s truly an honor to be inducted into the Hall of Fame, a place where the legends of our game are celebrated, and I’m deeply touched to be counted among them.

When I reflect on my career, I can’t help but think of where it all began. Getting drafted by Richmond was a dream come true. Those early years with the organization shaped me not just as a player, but as a person. Spending a decade with Richmond was like growing up in the game; it was a time of learning, of building my craft, and forging lifelong relationships. The support and belief the organization showed me during those formative years were invaluable. To the Richmond fans and everyone involved with the team, your faith and encouragement laid the foundation for everything that followed.

To my teammates, coaches, and mentors: your support, guidance, and belief in me made all the difference. I owe so much to those who stood by me, pushed me, and celebrated with me through every high and low. The memories we made together will forever be cherished.

To the fans who filled the stands, cheered us on, and shared in the excitement of the game: your passion and enthusiasm are what made every moment on the field special. You inspired me to give my best every time I put on that uniform. The energy you brought to the ballpark was a driving force that kept me going, and for that, I am deeply grateful.

And to my family—my rock and my foundation—thank you for your unwavering support and love. Your belief in me kept me grounded and motivated, and I’m so thankful for every sacrifice you made so I could pursue this dream.

Baseball is more than just a game. It’s a part of who we are, a reflection of our perseverance, and a celebration of our triumphs. To be remembered in this way is both humbling and inspiring. I hope that my journey, my dedication, and my love for the game serve as a reminder that with passion and hard work, we can achieve incredible things.

Thank you for this incredible honor. I’m deeply touched and will cherish this moment for the rest of my life. Here’s to the game that gave me everything, and to the future generations who will continue to make it great.

Thank you all.

Meet Your Hall of Famers: Diego Trinidad

 

Bio:   Diego was born in Barranquilla, CO (Pop. 1,206,319) (located in the northern part of Columbia on the Caribbean Sea).  

International Signing: Signed for $18 million in Season 38 (2^nd most that year) by Fargo (thebigdogs)

Scout Ben Wilson: “Diego Trinidad, an 18-year-old outfielder, stands out with his impressive blend of power and athleticism. His smooth, compact swing and advanced hitting mechanics suggest high potential for both average and power. Trinidad’s raw power is evident in his ability to drive the ball deep, and his above-average speed makes him a threat on the basepaths. Defensively, he combines a strong arm with good range, making him a reliable option in the outfield. With a strong work ethic and baseball IQ, Trinidad is poised to develop into a future star.”

Manager (thebigdogs): “Diego was by no means my best player, but he was very clutch.  I was surprised what I got out of him.  I thought he was good but not great.  He turned out to be great and was key piece to the start of the Fargo dynasty in Seasons 45-50.”    

Career Earnings: $83,437,000

Career: Diego Trinidad was signed as an international free agent in Season 38 for $18 million by Fargo (thebigdogs). He broke into the Majors in season 41 and had a 14 year career.  He spent 10 of those 14 years in Fargo before playing with Toronto (1 season), Ottawa (1 season), and Albuquerque (2 seasons).  He was an 5-time All-Star and won 2 MVP awards (43,47), 1 Silver Slugger (43) and has 3 World Series Rings (47,48,49).  His best year was his MVP Season of 43. In that year he hit .321 with 214 H, 36 2B, 2 3B, 46 HR, 136 RBI, and 26 SB.  Over his career he hit .297, 2388 H, 441 2B, 47 3B, 428 HR, 1533 RBI and 288 SB. 

Hall of Fame Speech: “Ladies and gentlemen, distinguished guests, and esteemed members of the Hall of Fame,

It is with immense joy and profound gratitude that I stand before you today. To be inducted into the Hall of Fame is a dream realized, a pinnacle of a journey that began many years ago in the lively streets of Barranquilla, Colombia. I am deeply honored to be here, reflecting on a career that has been more than I could have ever imagined.

Growing up in Barranquilla, baseball was more than a game; it was a way of life. From the moment I picked up a bat, I was hooked. The dusty fields and makeshift teams taught me the fundamentals of the game and, more importantly, the values of hard work and perseverance. Little did I know then that those humble beginnings would lead me here, to this incredible moment.

My journey took me from Barranquilla to the cold, bustling streets of Fargo, where I spent ten unforgettable years. Fargo was where I learned what it meant to be part of a team, where I developed my skills and began to make a name for myself. To my teammates in Fargo, your camaraderie and support were the foundation of my success. We celebrated together, fought through tough times together, and those memories will always hold a special place in my heart. Winning three World Series rings with Fargo was a dream come true, a culmination of years of hard work and dedication.

After Fargo, my career led me to Toronto, where I had the privilege of playing for one year. That season was a whirlwind, a chance to showcase what I had learned and to experience the game at a new level. To the fans and the team in Toronto, thank you for welcoming me with open arms and for giving me the opportunity to contribute to the team’s success.

Ottawa was another chapter, though brief, it was filled with its own unique experiences. The time spent there was a testament to the unpredictable nature of baseball, a reminder that every moment, every game, is precious and fleeting.

Finally, my career brought me to Albuquerque for two more remarkable years. Albuquerque was a place where I was able to embrace the game with a renewed energy and passion. The support from the fans and the incredible team spirit made those years some of the most rewarding of my career.

Throughout my career, I was fortunate to earn two MVP awards and to play in some of the most thrilling games of my life. These accolades are not just personal achievements but reflections of the support and dedication of everyone around me. I owe this recognition to my coaches, my teammates, and, most importantly, to my family.

To my family in Barranquilla and beyond, your love and belief in me were the driving forces behind every swing, every pitch, and every play. Your sacrifices and support made this journey possible, and I share this honor with you.

To the fans, your unwavering support has been a source of strength and motivation. Your cheers, your passion, and your loyalty are what made every game special. I played for you as much as I played for myself, and I hope I brought you the joy and excitement that you brought me.

As I reflect on this incredible journey, I am filled with gratitude. Being inducted into the Hall of Fame is not just the culmination of a career but a celebration of the love for the game and the people who make it all possible.

Thank you to the Hall of Fame committee for this extraordinary honor. It is a testament to the game we all love and the incredible journey that baseball has taken me on. Here’s to the dreams that drive us, the teams that support us, and the fans that inspire us.

Thank you all, from the bottom of my heart.

Estimated Career WAR: Stickball HOF Edition

 My last few posts have detailed how I calculate Estimated Career WAR, and this post will focus more on the results than the process. As of this morning, I have an Estimated Career WAR total for each member of the Stickball HOF, so now it's time to break those down a bit...partly for fun and partly to help the HOF Committee evaluate candidates.  Before we do a super deep dive, the full results without commentary can be seen below (HOF members are highlighted in gold). In my next post, I'll look at the HOF in more depth with a position-by-position breakdown and maybe another metric or two.  

MLB All Stars: Who Earned It? (Red Sox & Rockies Edition)

 This blog post will focus on MLB rather than Stickball, but my goal here is to provide real-life examples of the kinds of things that I'd like to use the WAR data that I calculate in Stickball for. Since the MLB All-Star Rosters have recently been announced, there is much chatter about whether those chosen deserve to be there, who got snubbed etc. As someone who is a Red Sox fan first and foremost, with the Rockies as my adopted NL team, those are the two that I hear most about. Tanner Houck, Raffy Devers, Jarren Duran and Ryan McMahon all certainly pass the eye test as All-Stars but there are a couple other Red Sox that I thought would be deserving if they got the nod (I'm looking at you, Connor Wong.) 

The phrase "All-Star Caliber season" gets tossed around a lot in various sports, but it can be kinda hard to define. Thanks to the ever-helpful website Fangraphs.com, there is actually a definition that I find to be both helpful and pretty accurate: 4.0 WAR or more for a full year. Since the All-Star Break is about halfway through the season, the logical conclusion would be that anyone who has 2.0 WAR or more at the halfway point is having an "All-Star Caliber season"...so now all we need to do is to take a look at Fangraph's data to see if those chosen are in fact worthy and/or if anyone got snubbed. Here's what I found: 

• Tanner Houck = 3.2 WAR --> on pace for 6.4 WAR, which is an "MVP Level" season
• Raffy Devers = 3.3 WAR --> on pace for 6.6 WAR, which is an "MVP Level" season
• Jarren Duran = 3.3 WAR --> on pace for 6.6 WAR, which is an "MVP Level" season
• Ryan McMahon = 2.1 WAR --> on pace for 4.2 WAR, which is an "All-Star Caliber" season

The following guys from those two teams are having "All-Star Caliber" seasons without getting selected:

• Kutter Crawford = 2.0 WAR --> 4.0 WAR pace 
• Brenton Doyle = 2.4 WAR --> 4.8 WAR pace 

Overall, the voters got it right...although I selfishly would have liked to see some love for Crawford (arguably one of the best baseball names in the game right now!) and Wong who is ridiculously athletic for a catcher; his 1.6 WAR is not quite up to the level of All-Star, but is also lower than I would have expected. 

Meet Your Hall of Famers: Luther MacDougal

 

Bio:   Luther was born in Omaha, NE (Pop. 488,000).  Even though he was born in Nebraska, he attended high school across the river in Iowa at Abraham Lincoln High School in Council Bluffs.  He pitched for the Lynx and helped lead them to back-to-back state championships.  He was an All-Class All-State selection in his Junior and Senior year.

Draft: Was the 21st pick in Season 37 by New York (tmfran).   Signed for $2,130,000 million.

Scout Vinny Childs- “Luther MacDougal has an above average arm.  His curveball could materialize into a great pitch.  He has average velocity and control which could hold him back.  He could be an All-star, but a regular bullpen arm is more likely.”

 Career Earnings: $42,735,000

Career: Luther MacDougal was drafted 21^st and signed by New York (tmfran) in Season 37. He broke into the Majors in season 43 and played 15 seasons all for New York.  He was an 11-time All-Star and won 7 Fireman of the Year Awards (46, 50, 51, 52, 53, 54, 55).  His best year was Season 48. In that year he threw 44 INN with a WHIP of .86.  He was 43 of 46 in Saves, with 35 K’s and OAV .177 and 1.43 ERA.  Over his career he had 480 SV, and 21 Wins.  He also accumulated 606 K’s over 767.1 INN with a .227 OAV, 1.15 WHIP, and 2.83 ERA. He holds the Season and Career Record for Saves for New York with 47 in season 50 and 480 overall.

 Speech Highlight-  “Thank you. Thank you. First of all, I don't understand why I always have to be the last (smiling). I keep saying that for the last 20 years. Last 17 years of my career, I always say, Why I have to be the last one?  I guess being the last one is special…………As a young boy in my beautiful Panama, yes, I wanted to be the next Pelé. Was not about Babe Ruth, Lou Gehrig, I wanted to be a Pelé. Pelé is a soccer superstar. So every child in every Latin country wanted to be the next Pelé.   But my abilities were not good enough for me to be a soccer player. So the Lord was pushing me to baseball. I loved baseball, but I didn't thought that baseball would be something I would use as a career.”

Anatomy of an Importance Score: Pitcher Deep Dive

 Starting last season, I began a series of posts that explain the method to my madness in terms of how I arrive at the Importance Scores that I share. So far I've talked about the different methods of calculating WAR and done a deep dive on a position player. During the HOF Committee's debates this season, we had some discussions about Slim Stewart...but I didn't have any data on him yet so he makes a lot of logical sense to be the focus of my deep dive on a pitcher. 

Just like with position players, I have an Estimated WAR total and a Park Adjusted WAR total. The difference is that I calculate the Estimated WAR for pitchers differently than I do for hitters. In the case of pitchers, I use the HOF Monitor Score and convert that to an Estimated WAR mark based on the different scales that are used. In other words, a HOF Monitor Score of 130 is considered an absolute lock for the HOF and 100 Career WAR is also considered an absolute lock...so I take the HOF Monitor Score and divide by 1.3 to get an Estimated WAR total. This method is significantly less accurate than the Estimated WAR for hitters in terms of being close to the Park Adjusted WAR total but still does a good job of identifying viable candidates. 

Here's how I arrived at Slim Stewart's Importance Score: 

• 4 years with 18 or 19 wins = 16 HOFM points
• 6 years with 15-17 wins = 12 HOFM points
• 1 year with 200-249 K = 2 HOFM points
• 4 years with 14 + Wins & .700 + Win% = 8 HOFM points
• 9 years with ERA under 3.00 and 150 IP = 9 HOFM points 
• 9 All Star selections = 27 HOFM points 
• 260 Career Wins = 20 HOFM points
• 0.639 Career Win % = 8 HOFM points 
• 7 playoff wins = 7 HOFM points
• 2.98 Career ERA = 10 HOFM points
• 3166 Career K = 10 HOFM points = 129 total HOFM points

129 HOFM points/1.3 = 99 Estimated Career WAR; 19 ML seasons = ~5.20 WAR/season

With the Importance Score being WAR/season with bonus points for Cy Youngs, WS Rings and MVP Awards as well as seasons with 4+ WAR the final category gets left out until I calculate Park Adjusted WAR. So, for right now Stewart's Importance Score is 5.2 + 2 bonus points for his World Series Ring = 7.20 total...but that will (likely) go up when I have time to calculate all 19 of his Park Adjusted WAR seasons. 

Anatomy of an Importance Score: Position Player Deep Dive

 Ultimately, my goal with calculating WAR totals is to come up with an average WAR per year because that's the baseline for my "Importance Score" metric that I use to judge the Hall of Fame candidates. So, for example, someone who produced 50 WAR in 10 seasons would have a baseline Importance Score of 5.0 before bonuses (which are given out for WS Rings, Cy Young Awards and MVP Awards.) 

To make the most accurate comparisons possible, I would ideally compare apples to apples aka shortstops to shortstops and designated hitters to designated hitters etc. To this end, I have sorted the HOF by position where "position" is defined by where they played the most ML innings rather than what WIS says on the site (because sometimes there's a difference.) As of this writing, there are no shortstops in the Stickball HOF and just one DH. This means that figuring out what the "average HOF DH" in Stickball world is fairly straightforward and also my next project...which makes that player, Yeico Johnson, the perfect case study for my "Anatomy" series of posts. Here's how that goes: 

Step 1: Calculate Estimated Offensive WAR 

• When I plug the stats from the HOF spreadsheet into this calculator, I find that he produced 1929 Runs Created in his career as a DH
• According to research that I did awhile back a "replacement level" DH should produce 70 RC/year and his 2433 games played = 15.02 full seasons...so 15.02 seasons * 70 RC/season means that a replacement level DH that got his amount of playing time would produce 1051.30 Runs Created
• That means that he is 1929-1051.30 = 877.7 Runs Created above "replacement" 
• At 10 runs/win, that gives him an "Estimated WAR" of 87.77 on offense 

Step 2: Calculate Estimated Defensive WAR

Once I have an Offensive WAR total, I shift my focus to defense. For this, I lean heavily on the FanGraphs Positional Adjustment.  Their career innings at each position and those adjustments from FanGraphs account for one part of the defensive WAR calculations and Errors, Plus Plays and Minus Plays account for the second part of the defensive WAR calculations. In the wOBA calculations that my more complicated spreadsheet uses a single is worth 0.31 Runs Created, so to make my life easy I do (Plus Plays-Errors-Minus Plays)*0.31 to get a "Raw Fielding Runs" total at each position. Then I combine the Raw Fielding Runs with the Positional Adjustments to get Total Fielding Runs which are then converted to Fielding WAR using the "10 runs per win" rule once again. My calculations for Johnson are below: 

In total, his Estimated Defensive WAR is -12.28 Wins Above Replacement. 

Step 3: Combine WAR totals....87.77 Offensive WAR & -12.28 Defensive WAR = 75.49 total for Estimated WAR

Step 4: Create An "Importance Score" Baseline... Johnson saw ML action in parts of 18 ML seasons, so 75.49 WAR/18 seasons = an average of 4.19 WAR/season. 

Step 5: Calculate "Importance Score" Bonus Points...the Importance Score is essentially borrowed from an MLB.com piece on ranking the best free agent signings of all-time, so I also basically borrowed their scoring system. That system awards 2 points for a WS Ring, 2 points for a Cy Young and 2 points for an MVP Award. They also award 1 additional bonus point for each year that a player recorded 4+ WAR, but I don't give those out until I've had a chance to calculate Park Adjusted WAR for each year of a player's career. Johnson didn't win any rings but he does have 3 MVP awards to his name, so that's 6 bonus points. 

Step 6: "Final" Importance Score with Estimated WAR... Johnson's Importance Score using Estimated WAR is 4.19 (baseline) + 6 (bonus points) = 10.19 total. The general guideline that I have given the HOF Committee is that any player in double digits is likely worthy of election, so Johnson clears that bar. 

(Step 7: Calculate Park Adjusted WAR for all seasons of a player's career)

(Step 8: Adjust baseline Importance Score using new WAR totals)

(Step 9: Award 1 bonus point for each season of 4+ WAR)

Meet Your Hall of Famers: Renato Hernandez

 

Bio:   Renato was born in Maiquetia, VE (Pop. 88,000, in North Central Venezuela, on the Caribbean Sea).  Renato broke on to the baseball scene when he pitched for Venezuela in the World Baseball Classic.  In that tournament he struck out 18 batters in just 8 innings of work.  He then signed with Austin in Season 42.

International Signing: Signed for $7 million in Season 42 (8^th most that year) by Austin (rwgeorge7)

Scout Lucas Fick- “Renato displayed great velocity with tremendous control in the WBC.  He reminds you of Mariano Rivera being so effective with just 2 fastballs.  His pinpoint control made him deadly to right handers.”

 Career Earnings: $101,839,000

Career: Renato Hernandez was an international free agent signed by Austin (rwgeorge7) in Season 42. He broke into the Majors in season 44 and played 17 seasons.  He also played six seasons for Tampa/Memphis before heading to FA.  In FA he signed with Seattle and played 10 for the Super Troopers. He then finished his career playing one season in Huntington.  In his first pro season he had elbow surgery that almost cost him his career.  He rehabbed and when on to be a 14-time All-Star, won 5 Fireman of the Year Awards (48, 52, 54, 55, 56), and won 3 World Series Ring (52, 53, 55).  Renato was so consistent for his career; it is tough to pick out his best year.  But I feel his best year was Season 53 in Seattle. In that year he threw 91 INN with a WHIP of .91.  He won 10 Games and had 32 SV, with 93 K’s and OAV .191 and 2.37 ERA.  Over his career he had 645 SV, and 53 Wins.  He also accumulated 1081 K’s over 1142 INN with a .207 OAV, 1.06 WHIP, and 2.35 ERA. He holds the Season and Career Record in Saves for Seattle with 53 in season 52 and 435 overall.

Speech Highlight- After being compared to Mariano Rivera..he copied some of his speech “But my abilities were not good enough for me to be a soccer player, so the Lord was pushing me to baseball.  I love baseball but I didn’t think baseball would be something I would use as a career.”

Meet Your Hall of Famers: Aurelio Wong and George Paul (The Cousins)

 

Bio: Aurelio Wong and George Paul were known as "The Cousins" of the Fargo locker room.  Although they were born in different countries, their personalities mired with each other as if they were cousins.  Aurelio was born in Barahona, DO (Pop. 138,000, in Southwest Dominican Republic).  George Paul was born in Atlanta, GA (Pop. 498,000).  Paul attended Crim High School in East downtown Atlanta.

Wong was an IFA: Signed for $19 million in Season 42 (The most that year) by Fargo (thebigdogs)

Paul was drafted: 3^rd overall in Season 39 by Fargo (thebigdogs), Signed for $3,440,000

Scout Abdullah Woodward: “Both Wong and Paul were great hitters.  Just different.  Wong had a lot of power and would swing and miss his fair share.  Paul was a great contact hitter with above average power.  Both could run…Paul had great speed and Wong had above average speed.  Neither was a great defender.”

Manager (thebigdogs): “Both Wong and Paul were an interictal part off the Fargo offense in the World Series runs in the late 40’s and early 50’s Seasons.  They added power and speed to make our offense elite.”

Career Earnings: Wong $176,137,000  Paul $96,062,000

Teams:

Wong: 15 ML Seasons Fargo 9, St Louis 1, El Paso 4, Las Vegas 1

Paul:  17 ML Seasons Fargo 11, New York 6

Awards:

Wong: 4-time All-Star, 2 Silver Slugger Awards (48, 57), and 4 World Series Ring (47, 48, 49, 51)

Paul: 4-time All Star, 1 MVP (50), 6 Silver Slugger Awards (43, 45, 46, 47, 48, 50) and 4 World Series Ring (47, 48, 49, 51)

Best Season:

Wong (Season 50): 175 H, 122 R, 23 2B, 7 3B, 55 HR, 166 RBI, 34 SB, .275 AVG, .924 OPS

Paul (Season 50 MVP): 209 H, 118 R, 43 2B, 4 3B, 43 HR, 145 RBI, 42 SB, .302 AVG, .911 OPS

Career Stat:

Wong: 2476 H, 1633 R, 347 2B, 75 3B, 670 HR, 1945 RBI, 469 SB, .274 AVG, .887 OPS

Paul: 2833 H, 1637 R, 539 2B, 76 3B, 508 HR, 1818 RBI, 791 SB, .291 AVG, .866 OPS

Speech Highlight: “The baseball journey goes beyond stats, accomplishments, and money….it is about the relationships and brotherhood you have with other players and coaches.  This journey has been filled with those relationships and am ever grateful.”

Anatomy of an "Importance Score": A WAR Story (but not the conflict kind)

 For the past few seasons, I have used the Importance Score to not just guide my own Hall of Fame voting, but also to make recommendations to the HOF Committee about who we recommend as locks/suggestions etc. I have also used it (when possible) for my Awards Voting blog...including this season, when thuggis asked for a more in-depth explaination of the Wins Above Replacement portion of that (and other) metrics that I have used. This is my attempt to adequately explain the process without writing a novel, but I make no guarantees about part two of that statement (sorry in advance!) 

Since I joined Stickball World, I have used a couple of different methods to calculate WAR for hitters: the first one I call the "Estimated WAR" because that's pretty much what it is...a back-of-the-napkin snapshot that gives a fairly accurate but not precisely calculated total. To get that I use the SB method on this calculator  to get an Estimated Career Runs Created total. I then take that number and subtract the Expected Runs Created for that player (which I get from the number of seasons that they played & their primary position...corner guys are expected to produce more than up-the-middle guys.) That tells me how many more Runs Created than average that person produced...from there I simply use the "10 runs per win" rule to divide by 10 and get a guesstimate for their Wins Above Replacement. While being fairly accurate, that does not account for a few key factors such as defense and home park, plus it only works for hitters. 

The second method that I use is what I call "Park Adjusted WAR" which accounts for all of the following aspects: hitting, fielding, pitching, position(s) played and home park. This method takes longer to calculate but I feel it is worth the time as it is significantly more accurate and can be used for any player any time rather than just hitters. While it is by far the best method that I have found, it is still not perfect as it is somewhat based on MLB data rather than Stickball data. 

By that I mean that the spreadsheet I found calculates a batter's value off of wOBA and a pitcher's value off of FIP, but the numbers that it uses to calculate those values come from extensive MLB research rather than anything that WIS or myself has produced. In an ideal world, I would easily be able to calculate those values for Stickball each season...and I do think that the data that I need is somewhere on the site, but it's an extra step and quite a bit of time that I'd have to take so I don't currently bother. That being said, if someone has made it this far in my ramblings and has an idea on how that can easily be done I'd love a suggestion! 

Once I have an initial WAR value based off of wOBA or FIP, I adjust that for the player's home park using the Park Factors that WIS has made public. After that, I factor in the player's defense at each position they played during the season and then add up the park-adjusted offensive WAR, total fielding WAR and pitching WAR that he produced to get a final total for the season. At that point, I enter his season total in the spreadsheet that I have created to track career totals. 

I know that's quite a lot all at once, and also fairly theoretical/vague so my plan is to make this the first in a series of posts with the next two being an example of calculating a position player's WAR and then calculating a pitcher's WAR. Feel free to Trade Chat, Sitemail or post in World Chat with any questions you have!

Season 63 Awards Voting

 After not being able to get a post published in time last season, I wanted to make sure that I got something out this year, which is why I posted the results by WAR into the World Chat a couple of days ago. Now that I have a little extra time, here is the full breakdown for each award...and if I have time I will also go back and add in the Importance Score bonus points to see if those change the outcome at all. Here's what the ballot looked like this season: 

AL MVP

• Geovany Toregas (LF-Fargo), 6.49 WAR (led league in RBI, Player of the Week = 0.83 bonus pts = 7.32 total) 
• Adys Sierra (CF-Burlington), 8.55 WAR (Player of the Week = 0.17 bonus = 8.72 total)
• Emilio Jose (LF-Burlington), 8.39 WAR (led league in H & CS...bonus pts cancel out = 8.39 total)
• Rafael Jacquez (2B-Fargo), 5.41 WAR (longest hitting streak of season, Player of the Week = 0.5 bonus = 5.91 total) 
• Danys Uribe (CF-Fargo), 5.14 WAR 

NL MVP

• Max Franco (1B-Cincinnati), 6.80 WAR (led lg in HR & OPS = 1.33 bonus = 8.13 total) 
• Ronald Lewis (2B-Las Vegas), 8.33 WAR (Player of the Week = 0.17 bonus = 8.50 total)
• Emil Vazquez (3B-San Juan), 7.83 WAR (Plyr of the Week x2 = 0.33 bonus = 8.16 total)
• Max Campos (LF-Las Vegas), 6.33 WAR
• Joe Lange (3B-Colorado Springs), 7.93 WAR 

AL Cy Young

• Cesar Chantres (SP-Ottawa), 3.79 WAR
• Ricardo Estalella (SP-Burlington), 4.25 WAR
• Gregory Brush (SP-Houston), 3.58 WAR
• Felix Terdoslavich (SP-Colorado), 2.00 WAR
• Bruce Higgins (SP-Little Rock), 2.52 WAR (6-way tie for SHO lg lead = .06 bonus = 2.58 total)

NL Cy Young

• AJ Moreno (SP-Las Vegas), 7.53 WAR (led lg in W, K, OAVG, oppOBP, oppSLG, WHIP & ERA, Pitcher of the Week x3 = 2.84 bonus = 10.37 total)
• Henry Poole (SP-Cincinnati), 3.32 WAR (6-way tie for SHO lg lead = .06 bonus = 3.38 total)
• Warren Buckel (SP-Vancouver), 3.58 WAR (Pitcher of the Week = 0.17 bonus = 3.75 total)
• Julio Pujols (SP-Las Vegas), 4.55 WAR
• Yordano Fuentes (SP-San Juan), 4.77 WAR

AL Rookie of the Year

• Jim Erickson (2B-Colorado), 4.79 WAR
• Marwin Lee (RP-Fargo), 1.68 WAR
• Sven Huson (1B-Ottawa), 2.97 WAR (led lg in Range Factor = 0.17 bonus = 3.14 total)
• Bridger Kydd (SP-Fargo), 2.13 WAR
• Willie Fernandez (SP-Kansas City), 3.80 WAR

NL Rookie of the Year

• Henderson Moriarty (1B-Trenton), 4.09 WAR
• Cliff Jones (RF-Trenton), 0.06 WAR
• Chris Lee (SS-Cincinnati), 1.29 WAR
• Jeff Nixon (1B-Pittsburgh), 1.36 WAR 
• Charlie Gran (RF-Seattle), 2.37 WAR