Monday, July 8, 2024

MLB All Stars: Who Earned It? (Red Sox & Rockies Edition)

 This blog post will focus on MLB rather than Stickball, but my goal here is to provide real-life examples of the kinds of things that I'd like to use the WAR data that I calculate in Stickball for. Since the MLB All-Star Rosters have recently been announced, there is much chatter about whether those chosen deserve to be there, who got snubbed etc. As someone who is a Red Sox fan first and foremost, with the Rockies as my adopted NL team, those are the two that I hear most about. Tanner Houck, Raffy Devers, Jarren Duran and Ryan McMahon all certainly pass the eye test as All-Stars but there are a couple other Red Sox that I thought would be deserving if they got the nod (I'm looking at you, Connor Wong.) 

The phrase "All-Star Caliber season" gets tossed around a lot in various sports, but it can be kinda hard to define. Thanks to the ever-helpful website Fangraphs.com, there is actually a definition that I find to be both helpful and pretty accurate: 4.0 WAR or more for a full year. Since the All-Star Break is about halfway through the season, the logical conclusion would be that anyone who has 2.0 WAR or more at the halfway point is having an "All-Star Caliber season"...so now all we need to do is to take a look at Fangraph's data to see if those chosen are in fact worthy and/or if anyone got snubbed. Here's what I found: 

  • Tanner Houck = 3.2 WAR --> on pace for 6.4 WAR, which is an "MVP Level" season
  • Raffy Devers = 3.3 WAR --> on pace for 6.6 WAR, which is an "MVP Level" season
  • Jarren Duran = 3.3 WAR --> on pace for 6.6 WAR, which is an "MVP Level" season
  • Ryan McMahon = 2.1 WAR --> on pace for 4.2 WAR, which is an "All-Star Caliber" season
The following guys from those two teams are having "All-Star Caliber" seasons without getting selected:
  • Kutter Crawford = 2.0 WAR --> 4.0 WAR pace 
  • Brenton Doyle = 2.4 WAR --> 4.8 WAR pace 
Overall, the voters got it right...although I selfishly would have liked to see some love for Crawford (arguably one of the best baseball names in the game right now!) and Wong who is ridiculously athletic for a catcher; his 1.6 WAR is not quite up to the level of All-Star, but is also lower than I would have expected. 

No comments:

Post a Comment

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.