Since I have been using the "Importance Score" metric to evaluate the Stickball HOF for the past handful of seasons, I figured doing the same thing to the MLB HOF ballot would provide a good litmus test for how effective this made up metric actually is. As a reminder (or introduction) I calculate Importance Score using WAR/year and giving bonus points for MVP's, Cy Young Awards and World Series Rings. Generally speaking, any score in the double digits is something that I consider to be HOF worthy. Here's how this year's ballot looks:
HBD Stickball
Monday, December 23, 2024
My 2025 MLB Hall of Fame Ballot
Friday, November 29, 2024
A Quicker MVP Voting Method: Seasons 65 + 66
While I still believe that comparing Wins Above Replacement totals for the guys on the ballot is the most accurate and fair way to vote, doing that math can take a while. Therefore, I'd like to use something quicker (at least to start) when real life is busy, and I don't have time to do all that math. Enter the MVP Prediction System. It seems like it should be pretty reliable, and with the discussions around the real-life AL and NL MVP awards for this season heating up I want to take a few minutes to see who the Prediction System says should win this year. If I like the answer(s) it gives me, I may use it in Stickball (and my other HBD worlds) going forward. Let's get to it:
2024 MLB AL MVP
- Leading the league in RBI = 1 pt : Aaron Judge
- Leading the league in AVG = 1 pt : Bobby Witt
- Leading the league in HR = 1 pt : Aaron Judge
- 100+ RBI = 1 pt each: Aaron Judge, Jose Ramirez
- .300+ AVG = 1 pt each: Bobby Witt, Aaron Judge, Vlad Jr, Yordan Alvarez, Steven Kwan, Yanier Diaz
- Aaron Judge: 4 points
- Bobby Witt: 2 points
- Jose Ramirez, Vlad Jr, Yordan Alvarez, Steven Kwan, Yanier Diaz: 1 point
- Aaron Judge: 5 points
- Bobby Witt, Jose Ramirez, Yordan Alvarez, Steven Kwan, Yanier Diaz: 2 points
- Vlad Jr: 1 point
- Aaron Judge: 6 points
- Yanier Diaz: 3 points
- Bobby Witt, Jose Ramirez, Yordan Alvarez, Steven Kwan: 2 points
- Vlad Jr: 1 point
- Leading the league in RBI = 1 pt: Marcell Ozuna & Shohei Ohtani are tied
- Leading the league in AVG = 1 pt: Marcell Ozuna
- Leading the league in HR = 1 pt: Shohei Ohtani
- 100+ RBI = 1 pt each: none currently
- .300+ AVG = 1 pt each: Marcell Ozuna, Luis Arraez
- Marcell Ozuna & Shohei Ohtani 2.5 points
- Luis Arraez 1 point
- Ozuna: .307 AVG, 37 HR, 94 RBI at DH for ATL (no bonuses) = 131.307 points
- Ohtani: .294 AVG, 41 HR, 94 RBI at DH for LAD (division bonus) = 136.294 points
- Leading the league in RBI = Dan Brown
- Leading the league in AVG = Alex Calvo
- Leading the league in HR = Vince Fonville
- 100+ RBI = Dan Brown, Alex Calvo, Dennis Morgan, Vince Fonville, Eric Nola, Ted Touissaint, Wayne Teixeira, Gregorio Ontiveros, Harry Machi, Furio Betemit, Denny Kawasaki, Woody DeLuca, Parker Shelby, Damian Reed, John Rosenbaum, Danys Uribe, Darron Munson, Willie Espinosa, Daniel Wolcott
- .300+ AVG = Alex Calvo, Woody DeLuca, Koji Kim, Vince Lara, Emilio Jose, Gus Meng, David Beltre, Phil O'Shea, Rafael Jacquez, Vince Fonville
- Alex Calvo & Vince Fonville: 4 points
- Dan Brown & David Beltre: 3 points
- Emilio Jose, Woody DeLuca, Harry Machi, Damian Reed: 2 points
- Alex Calvo: 4 points
- Dan Brown: 3 points
- Rafael Jacquez: 1 point
- Brian Kojima: 0 points
- Vince Fonville: 4 points
- Tim Martin, Niko Morton : 4 points
- Hub Cooper, Del Lopez, Emil Vazquez, Joe Lange, Eugene Lee, Francisco Chavez, Guilder Gabriel, Isaac Holland : 3 points
- Cliff Leverton, D'Angelo Machado, Lorenzo Moreno, Oswaldo Cerveza, Claudio Jarvis, Ernest McPherson, Preston Cooney, Jorge Pena, Bob Haywood, Alex Manuel, Ivan Jacquez : 2 points
- Ivan Jacquez: 2 points
- Cliff Leverton: 1 point (WAR winner...by quite a bit)
- Bob Haywood: 2 points
- Claudio Jarvis: 2 points
- Niko Morton: 4 points
- Leading the league in RBI: Alex Calvo
- Leading the league in AVG: Niko Morton (NL)
- Leading the league in HR: Alex Calvo
- 100+ RBI = Alex Calvo, Carlos Romero, Dan Brown, Ron Harris
- .300+ AVG = Alex Calvo, Carlos Romero, Dan Brown, Ron Harris
- Played for Div Winner: Carlos Romero, Ron Harris
- Playing C, 2B, CF or SS on Div. Winner: none
- Alex Calvo = 4 points
- Carlos Romero & Ron Harris = 3 points
- Dan Brown = 2 points
- Rio Florimon = 0 points
- Leading the league in RBI: Alex Calvo (AL)
- Leading the league in AVG: Niko Morton
- Leading the league in HR: Alex Calvo (AL)
- 100+ RBI: Niko Morton, Pedro Trinidad, Henderson Moriarty, Ivan Jacquez, Jon Browne
- .300+ AVG: Niko Morton, Pedro Trinidad
- Played for Div. Winner: Pedro Trinidad, Ivan Jacquez, Jon Browne
- Played C,2B,CF or SS on Div Winner: none
- Niko Morton, Pedro Trinidad = 3 points
- Morton 161.362, Trinidad 132.323
- Ivan Jacquez, Jon Browne = 2 points
- Henderson Moriarty = 1 point
Saturday, September 28, 2024
Meet Your Hall of Famers: Slim Stewart
Bio: Slim Stewart was born in Mendenhall, MS (Pop. 2,504, 33
miles Southeast of Jackson). He
attended Lawrence County High School in Monticello, MS (Nickname: Cougars).
Draft: Was the 3rd pick in Season 40 by Little Rock (tenaciousdx). Signed
for $3,8200,000 million.
Scout Pasqual Javier: “Slim Stewart is an exceptionally
talented pitcher with a high ceiling. His combination of velocity, control, and
competitive mindset makes him a standout prospect. While there is still
development needed, particularly with his secondary pitches and consistency,
his raw talent and work ethic suggest a bright future ahead. With the right
development and support, he has the potential to become a top-of-the-rotation
starter at the major league level. Projection:
Future All-Star caliber pitcher with potential to be a key contributor to a
major league rotation. With continued growth and refinement, he could emerge as
an ace for any team.”
Manager (trapapoodle): “He
stayed slim by doing ballroom dancing in his spare time. He was also very
superstitious. Other than that I just remember he was a great pitcher and an
even better man. He was just a
consistently excellent pitcher for me and I'm still working on replacing him.”
Career Earnings: $121,131,000
Career: Slim Stewart broke into the Majors in season 42 and
had a 20-year career. He spent his first
18 years in the Little Rock organization that drafted him (New Orleans,
Wichita, Charleston). He finished his
MLB career with one-year stints in Boise and El Paso. He was a 9-time
All-Star and won one World Series Ring with Charleston in Season 54. He also threw a no-hitter in Season 58. The Season
of 54 was also his best year. In that year he had a 19-4 record while throwing
212 INN. He also posted a 2.04 ERA, .205 OAV, .93 WHIP, and 184 K’s. He finished his career with 260 Wins, 3166
K’s, a .228 OAV, 1.10 WHIP, and 2.98 ERA.
He owns the single season record for WHIP of .90 for Charleston in Season
58. He also owns Career records in Charleston for Wins 258, WHIP 1.08, K’s
3,073, INN 3589, ERA 2.88, OAV .226.
Hall of Fame Speech: Ladies and gentlemen,
To be inducted into the Hall of Fame is a profound honor, one that
reflects not just my journey but the countless people who have supported me
along the way. As I look out at all of you, I am overwhelmed with gratitude and
awe. This recognition is a testament to the incredible game of baseball and to
the remarkable journey I’ve had, from a small-town kid with big dreams to a
Hall of Famer.
As I look back on my career, I am reminded of the humble
beginnings in Mendenhall, Mississippi. Growing up, I was just a kid with a
dream and a fastball, playing on the backlot fields and dreaming of making it
to the big leagues. To think that a small-town kid like me could come this far
is nothing short of extraordinary.
Getting drafted straight out of high school by Little Rock was the
start of an incredible adventure. I remember the excitement and nerves of
stepping into professional baseball, not knowing where the road would lead but
eager to give it everything I had. Little Rock gave me the chance to start my
journey, and I am forever grateful for that opportunity.
Eighteen seasons with Charleston—the team that became my second
family—were the highlight of my career. To win a World Series in Season 54 was
a moment of sheer joy and validation. That championship was not just a
testament to my hard work but to the collective effort of an amazing team. To
my teammates and coaches, thank you for your unwavering support, guidance, and
the countless memories we created together.
I’ll never forget the day I threw that no-hitter. It was one of
those rare and magical moments where everything seemed to fall perfectly into
place. But even more than that, it was a testament to the teamwork and
preparation that went into every game.
To my family, thank you for your endless support and sacrifices.
Your belief in me kept me grounded and motivated through the highs and lows of
my career. Your love and encouragement made every victory sweeter and every
challenge more manageable.
To the fans of Charleston and beyond, your enthusiasm and loyalty
were a driving force for me. Your cheers and support turned every game into a
celebration and gave me the energy to perform at my best. I am honored to have
been part of this community and to have shared so many great moments with you
all.
Baseball is a game of countless stories and countless dreams. I
hope my story serves as a reminder of the power of perseverance, dedication,
and passion. To be remembered in this way is both humbling and inspiring, and I
am deeply grateful for this recognition.
Thank you for this incredible honor. It’s a privilege to stand
here and celebrate the game that has given me so much. Here’s to the future, to
the next generation of players who will carry on the legacy of this great
sport.
Thank you all.
Sunday, August 25, 2024
Season 65 Awards Voting
Just as a reminder, the following are Wins Above Replacement totals that include batting, fielding and pitching data and have been adjusted for both home parks and primary defensive positions. Without further ado, let's get to the numbers and see if the #Cliff4MVP campaign is justified 😂🤔
AL MVP
- Alex Calvo (LF-Monterrey), 9.57 WAR
- Dan Brown (RF-Monterrey), 5.46 WAR
- Rafael Jacquez (2B-Fargo), 6.09 WAR
- Brian Kojima (1B-Santa Cruz), 3.89 WAR
- Vince Fonville (RF-Ottawa), 5.59 WAR
- Ivan Jacquez (1B-St. Louis), 7.63 WAR
- Cliff Leverton (1B-Las Vegas), 9.87 WAR
- Claudio Jarvis (1B-Charleston), 7.10 WAR
- Niko Morton (1B-El Paso), 7.31 WAR
- Bob Haywood (1B-Santa Fe), 3.97 WAR
- AJ Moreno (SP-Fargo), 7.59 WAR
- Juan Romero (SP-Louisville), 3.59 WAR
- Brad Jensen (SP-Monterrey), 5.07 WAR
- Wladimir Campos (SP-Ottawa), 3.80 WAR
- Warren Buckel (SP-Kansas City), 4.78 WAR
- Tom Scott (SP-Helena), 4.94 WAR
- Shaggy Conforto (SP-Cleveland), 4.85 WAR
- Felipe Lee (SP-San Juan), 5.72 WAR
- Mitchell Bergman (SP-San Juan), 3.19 WAR
- Germany Gilliam (SP-Las Vegas), 1.66 WAR
- David Beltre (CF-San Francisco), 4.58 WAR
- Brian Kojima (1B-Santa Cruz), 3.89 WAR
- Koji Kim (CF-Kansas City), 4.31 WAR
- Dan Leach (RF-Santa Cruz), 1.60 WAR
- Stretch Stockton (CF-Colorado), 1.61 WAR
- Hong-Gu Martin (RF-Charleston), 3.77 WAR
- Germany Gilliam (SP-Las Vegas), 1.66 WAR
- Timothy Gray (RP-Seattle), 2.27 WAR
- John Browne (LF-Helena), 2.45 WAR
- Charles Siddall (SP-El Paso), 1.85 WAR
Saturday, August 17, 2024
Meet Your Hall of Famers: Leonys Nieves
Draft: Was the 2nd pick in Season 43 by Richmond (vegascowboy). Signed
for $3,910,000 million.
Scout Pep Dickey- “Leonys Nieves is a highly promising
prospect with great power. His potential impact at the major league level is
significant, with the upside of becoming a key contributor offensively. With
continued development and adjustment to higher competition, he has the
potential to become a cornerstone player for any organization. Projection:
Future All-Star and middle-of-the-order hitter.”
Career Earnings: $55,729,000
Career: Leonys Nieves broke into the Majors in season 46 and
had a 14-year career. He spent 10 of
those 14 years in the Richmond organization that drafted him (Florida, Augusta,
Dover, Cleveland, Jacksonville) before being traded to Santa Fe for 3 seasons. He
finished his MLB career with one season in Louisville. He was a 6-time
All-Star and won 2 MVP awards (51, 53), and 7 Silver Slugger Awards (47, 49,
50, 51, 52, 53, 55). His best year was
his MVP Season of 53. In that year he hit .340 with 216 H, 33 2B, 2 3B, 52 HR,
128 RBI, and 5 SB. Over his career he hit
.308, 2209 H, 374 2B, 31 3B, 494 HR, 1401 RBI, 67 SB and an OPS of .966.
He holds the Single Season record for Richmond at 57
Homeruns (Season 48).
Hall of Fame Speech: Ladies and gentlemen, family, friends, and fellow baseball lovers,
Wow. Standing here tonight, I’m overwhelmed with gratitude and
humility. It’s truly an honor to be inducted into the Hall of Fame, a place
where the legends of our game are celebrated, and I’m deeply touched to be
counted among them.
When I reflect on my career, I can’t help but think of where it
all began. Getting drafted by Richmond was a dream come true. Those early years
with the organization shaped me not just as a player, but as a person. Spending
a decade with Richmond was like growing up in the game; it was a time of
learning, of building my craft, and forging lifelong relationships. The support
and belief the organization showed me during those formative years were
invaluable. To the Richmond fans and everyone involved with the team, your
faith and encouragement laid the foundation for everything that followed.
To my teammates, coaches, and mentors: your support, guidance, and
belief in me made all the difference. I owe so much to those who stood by me,
pushed me, and celebrated with me through every high and low. The memories we
made together will forever be cherished.
To the fans who filled the stands, cheered us on, and shared in
the excitement of the game: your passion and enthusiasm are what made every
moment on the field special. You inspired me to give my best every time I put
on that uniform. The energy you brought to the ballpark was a driving force
that kept me going, and for that, I am deeply grateful.
And to my family—my rock and my foundation—thank you for your
unwavering support and love. Your belief in me kept me grounded and motivated,
and I’m so thankful for every sacrifice you made so I could pursue this dream.
Baseball is more than just a game. It’s a part of who we are, a
reflection of our perseverance, and a celebration of our triumphs. To be
remembered in this way is both humbling and inspiring. I hope that my journey,
my dedication, and my love for the game serve as a reminder that with passion
and hard work, we can achieve incredible things.
Thank you for this incredible honor. I’m deeply touched and will
cherish this moment for the rest of my life. Here’s to the game that gave me
everything, and to the future generations who will continue to make it great.
Thank you all.
Meet Your Hall of Famers: Diego Trinidad
Scout Ben Wilson: “Diego Trinidad, an 18-year-old
outfielder, stands out with his impressive blend of power and athleticism. His
smooth, compact swing and advanced hitting mechanics suggest high potential for
both average and power. Trinidad’s raw power is evident in his ability to drive
the ball deep, and his above-average speed makes him a threat on the basepaths.
Defensively, he combines a strong arm with good range, making him a reliable
option in the outfield. With a strong work ethic and baseball IQ, Trinidad is
poised to develop into a future star.”
Manager (thebigdogs): “Diego was
by no means my best player, but he was very clutch. I was surprised what I got out of him. I thought he was good but not great. He turned out to be great and was key piece
to the start of the Fargo dynasty in Seasons 45-50.”
Career Earnings: $83,437,000
Career: Diego Trinidad was signed as an international free
agent in Season 38 for $18 million by Fargo (thebigdogs). He broke into the
Majors in season 41 and had a 14 year career.
He spent 10 of those 14 years in Fargo before playing with Toronto (1
season), Ottawa (1 season), and Albuquerque (2 seasons). He was an 5-time
All-Star and won 2 MVP awards (43,47), 1 Silver Slugger (43) and has 3 World
Series Rings (47,48,49). His best year
was his MVP Season of 43. In that year he hit .321 with 214 H, 36 2B, 2 3B, 46
HR, 136 RBI, and 26 SB. Over his career
he hit .297, 2388 H, 441 2B, 47 3B, 428 HR, 1533 RBI and 288 SB.
Hall of Fame Speech: “Ladies and
gentlemen, distinguished guests, and esteemed members of the Hall of Fame,
It is with immense joy and
profound gratitude that I stand before you today. To be inducted into the Hall
of Fame is a dream realized, a pinnacle of a journey that began many years ago
in the lively streets of Barranquilla, Colombia. I am deeply honored to be
here, reflecting on a career that has been more than I could have ever
imagined.
Growing up in Barranquilla,
baseball was more than a game; it was a way of life. From the moment I picked
up a bat, I was hooked. The dusty fields and makeshift teams taught me the
fundamentals of the game and, more importantly, the values of hard work and
perseverance. Little did I know then that those humble beginnings would lead me
here, to this incredible moment.
My journey took me from
Barranquilla to the cold, bustling streets of Fargo, where I spent ten
unforgettable years. Fargo was where I learned what it meant to be part of a
team, where I developed my skills and began to make a name for myself. To my
teammates in Fargo, your camaraderie and support were the foundation of my
success. We celebrated together, fought through tough times together, and those
memories will always hold a special place in my heart. Winning three World
Series rings with Fargo was a dream come true, a culmination of years of hard
work and dedication.
After Fargo, my career led me to
Toronto, where I had the privilege of playing for one year. That season was a
whirlwind, a chance to showcase what I had learned and to experience the game
at a new level. To the fans and the team in Toronto, thank you for welcoming me
with open arms and for giving me the opportunity to contribute to the team’s
success.
Ottawa was another chapter, though
brief, it was filled with its own unique experiences. The time spent there was
a testament to the unpredictable nature of baseball, a reminder that every
moment, every game, is precious and fleeting.
Finally, my career brought me to
Albuquerque for two more remarkable years. Albuquerque was a place where I was
able to embrace the game with a renewed energy and passion. The support from
the fans and the incredible team spirit made those years some of the most
rewarding of my career.
Throughout my career, I was
fortunate to earn two MVP awards and to play in some of the most thrilling
games of my life. These accolades are not just personal achievements but
reflections of the support and dedication of everyone around me. I owe this recognition
to my coaches, my teammates, and, most importantly, to my family.
To my family in Barranquilla and
beyond, your love and belief in me were the driving forces behind every swing,
every pitch, and every play. Your sacrifices and support made this journey
possible, and I share this honor with you.
To the fans, your unwavering
support has been a source of strength and motivation. Your cheers, your
passion, and your loyalty are what made every game special. I played for you as
much as I played for myself, and I hope I brought you the joy and excitement
that you brought me.
As I reflect on this incredible
journey, I am filled with gratitude. Being inducted into the Hall of Fame is
not just the culmination of a career but a celebration of the love for the game
and the people who make it all possible.
Thank you to the Hall of Fame
committee for this extraordinary honor. It is a testament to the game we all
love and the incredible journey that baseball has taken me on. Here’s to the
dreams that drive us, the teams that support us, and the fans that inspire us.
Thank you all, from the bottom of
my heart.
Wednesday, July 10, 2024
Estimated Career WAR: Stickball HOF Edition
My last few posts have detailed how I calculate Estimated Career WAR, and this post will focus more on the results than the process. As of this morning, I have an Estimated Career WAR total for each member of the Stickball HOF, so now it's time to break those down a bit...partly for fun and partly to help the HOF Committee evaluate candidates. Before we do a super deep dive, the full results without commentary can be seen below (HOF members are highlighted in gold). In my next post, I'll look at the HOF in more depth with a position-by-position breakdown and maybe another metric or two.